UFC’s new Anti-Doping Policy: All the details

The world’s largest MMA promotion is hitting 2024 with at least one major change on the horizon. In a surprise move this past October, USADA announced that they would not be working with the UFC starting in 2024. In part, they claimed, due to the promotion’s seeming favorable treatment of Conor McGregor and delays in his re-entry to the promotion’s drug testing pool.

Eventually it all shook out that the UFC had, in fact, cancelled their contract with USADA entirely of their own volition—with the intention of setting up their own, in-house program. In announcing the move, UFC drug czar Jeff Novitzky & Chief Business Officer Hunter Campbell tore into USADA CEO Travis Tygart and their soon-to-be-former partner—outlining what they felt were a whole series over overstepping actions from the agency, particularly noting the statements that the company had released about McGregor. They also offered a brief outline of the UFC’s plans for the new year.

In a press release on December 28th, we got a few more details, as well as a look at the complete new Anti-Doping Policy. After pouring over the document and comparing it to the previous USADA policy, we’ve done our best to give readers a complete rundown of all the differences.

UFC sets up anti-doping website, preps for life beyond USADA

The broad strokes of the UFC’s plan don’t appear to have changed at all from previous announcements. Most notably that the promotion will no longer be housing all branches of its drug testing operation under one roof. Instead, the UFC is going à la carte, using Drug Free Sport International (DFSI) as its sample collection agency; the Sports Medicine and Research Testing Laboratory (SMRTL) for its sample processing; and an apparently newly formed Combat Sports Anti-Doping agency (CSAD), headed by former ‘FBI guy’ George Piro, to hand out the punishments.

Most notably from the press release, however, is section four—detailing the the “Comprehensive List of Prohibited Substances.” With the UFC now contracting with each of these vendors individually, it seems as though they could have a lot more flexibility in terms of how they want their services to be tailored. Notably, in working with SMRTL, the UFC has announced that they will be using a “criteria for prohibited substances” that is “modeled after WADA’s In and Out of Competition programs.”

The “Prohibited List,” detailing which substances are allowed and which substances are not, will generally remain the same as the prior program. The criteria for prohibited substances will be modeled after WADA’s In and Out of Competition programs with modifications based on historical findings [i.e. marijuana removed from the prohibited list]. In addition, Decision Concentration Limits [thresholds] will be established that allow the program to differentiate between intentional use cases of prohibited substances and cases stemming from unintentional exposure to low level contaminants.

All things considered, it’s not much different than what was in the UFC’s Anti-Doping policy under USADA, which also noted that their standards would be modeled after the “World Anti-Doping Code.” However once we actually dug into the policy itself, the differences became much more clear.

Early on, a notable omission in the new Anti-Doping policy pertaining to “Establishing Facts and Presumptions,” seems to provide the UFC more room to decide what constitutes a drug test failure. The previous USADA Anti-Doping policy included this paragraph, which has been removed from the new Policy document:

Analytical methods or decision limits approved by WADA after consultation within the relevant scientific community and which have been the subject of peer review are presumed to be scientifically valid. Decision Concentration Levels set forth in the UFC Prohibited List shall not be subject to challenge.

Further down the document, in section 4.2.1/4.2.2 WADA’s absence is again notable. While the UFC has claimed up front that they are still modeling their program off of WADA’s “Prohibited List,” its continuous absence from their policy in comparison to USADA’s version is difficult not to note. The promotion appears to be making absolutely sure that they are not legally binding themselves to WADA’s standards for the future.

What’s more, it seems the UFC has opened the door for more arguments as to what can/should be considered a prohibited substance with their section on “UFC’s Determination of the Prohibited List.” That section basically outlines that whatever the UFC decides is prohibited is not open to challenge from athletes.

But the USADA iteration included the language that their list “shall not be subject to challenge by an Athlete or other Person,” (emphasis mine). The new policy has removed the “other person,” as someone ineligible to challenge the prohibited list. Does that just mean that the list isn’t challengable in any capacity and the language has only been simplified, or does it mean fighters could bring in expert testimony to challenge a substance ban?*

Alongside those changes to drug testing policy, a further note on “Decision Concentration Limits” looks like another interesting departure.

Concentration level arbitration

It’s not that past UFC policy didn’t include notes about “thresholds” (i.e. how many picograms of a substance constitute a drug test failure) and how those thresholds might be applied, but the UFC’s new policy includes this note in section 2.1.3.2:

…in cases where either the Athlete’s A or B Samples measure within 20% above the Decision Concentration Level, the athlete is entitled to challenge the determination that the applicable concentration was above the Decision Concentration Level. Further, the Independent Administrator has the ability to review such cases and determine whether an Anti-Doping Policy Violation has been committed…

Essentially, there’s more gray area and wiggle room for the various metabolites that might cause fighters to fail a drug test. The threshold is no longer a hard line, but something that can be arbitrated or, potentially even dismissed entirely if the Independent Administrator (George Piro) sees fit.

Also missing in the new policy is this bit of language concerning fighters who have used banned substances previous to entering the UFC. In both the past and present policies, the UFC would not consider admission of past PED use a violation of policy, provided the use took place before entering a contract with the promotion, the USADA version included this note as well, however:

…unless the Athlete’s Use of the substance or method in question was pursuant to a valid medical prescription or recommendation, such conduct may also be considered in sanctioning or counted as a violation for purposes of Article 10.7 if the Athlete subsequently commits an Anti-Doping Policy Violation.

In the past, fighters who were doping outside the UFC for means of performance enhancement would potentially have that conduct held against them if they failed future drug tests. Under the new policy, it seems that may not be the case.

Guilt by association

One of the major battlefields in MMA lately has been the crackdown of gambling among athletes. Regulations surrounding fighters potentially betting on themselves or fixing contests are so strict, that they don’t just stretch to athletes and coaches, but family members or other insiders who might have knowledge about a contest not generally available to the public as well.

That was a stance also mirrored by the UFC’s drug testing policy under USADA, which included this policy on simple possession of performance enhancing substances:

Possession by an Athlete Support Person In-Competition of any Prohibited Substance or any Prohibited Method, or Possession by an Athlete Support Person Out-of-Competition of any Prohibited Substance or any Prohibited Method which is prohibited Out-of-Competition in connection with an Athlete, competition or training, unless the Athlete Support Person establishes that the Possession is consistent with a TUE granted to an Athlete in accordance with Article 4.4 or other acceptable justification.

Once again, that language appears to be missing from the new Anti-Doping Policy, potentially providing fighters more leniency surrounding teammates or coaching staff that might be found with performance enhancing substances. Furthermore, in a later section relating to the UFC’s ability to carry out an investigation of an athlete who retires or has their contract terminated during said investigation, language including “Athlete Support Personnel” has been entirely removed. As has language in reference to anti-doping hearings pertaining to persons other than UFC athletes.

Although the new document does include a section about “complicity” which counts any knowing coverup of doping activity as a policy violation, a subsection on “Prohibited Association” meant to keep fighters from partnering with athletes who are under USADA suspension has been removed. All told, it seems the UFC has focused their new policy to only cover fighters under contract wherever it can.

Conor McGregor rule

LAS VEGAS, NV - March 4: (L) Conor McGregor and Dana White share a laugh dayside at T-Mobile Arena for UFC 285 -Jones vs Gane : Event on March 4, 2023 in Las Vegas, NV, United States.(Photo by Louis Grasse PxImages) (Louis Grasse SPP) PUBLICATIONxNOTxINxBRAxMEX xSPPx SPP_157547
Conor McGregor and Dana White chat at UFC 285. | Louis Grasse / Sports Press Photo, IMAGO

The return of Conor McGregor has become an inescapable part of the story of the fractured relationship between the UFC and USADA. McGregor suffered a brutal leg injury back in 2021, during his trilogy fight against Dustin Poirier. Following that loss, the ‘Notorious’ Irishman departed the promotion’s drug testing pool on an indefinite hiatus.

When other fighters, fans, and media started to point out that McGregor’s removal from the USADA system seemed to be a way for him to treat his injury with banned substances, McGregor had this to say:

“Everything was fully disclosed before I began. The state of allowance for athletes to recover from injuries as horrific as the one I overcame must be assessed. My thoughts are with [Chris Weidman] and Anderson Silva. The 3 of us, and only us, know the severity of this injury.”

Whatever substances or procedures McGregor may have used during his time away, USADA policy stated that he would need to undergo six months of testing eligibility and pass two drug tests before he could return to competition. Policy language also allowed that six month window to be bypassed by the UFC, provided that the two drug tests were still passed.

…UFC may grant an exemption to the six-month written notice rule in exceptional circumstances or where the strict application of that rule would be manifestly unfair to an Athlete provided that in either instance the Athlete provides a minimum of two negative Samples before returning to competition.

That language in bold has been removed from the UFC’s new policy.

Testing labs

Under USADA policy, testing of UFC athlete samples could only be carried out by WADA accredited labs. As aforementioned it appears the UFC is invested in making sure that they are not bound by WADA approval processes for the future. As such, while it’s only a minor change in the language, the UFC’s new testing policy includes a very small, but likely meaningful phrase.

For purposes of Article 2.1, Samples shall be analyzed only in laboratories accredited or otherwise approved by WADA or other designated qualified laboratories.

A followup section on the “Purpose of Analysis of Samples” removes all mention of WADA as well.

Suspension periods

While all the language about drug testing, WADA association, guilt by association, and establishing PED thresholds is interesting, the most important change is in section 10. That’s the part of the UFC’s Anti-Doping Policy that covers suspension length and punishments for various types of infractions.

At first blush, the promotion seems to be sticking with USADA regulations, suspending fighters two years for a “non-specified substance,” and one year for a “specified substance”. However, it looks like the promotion is taking a much more lenient view on evading drug tests and/or tampering with evidence. Where USADA carried a minimum punishment of 2 years and a maximum of 4 years for these violations, the new UFC policy will carry a minimum of 1 year and a maximum of 2 for “intentional violations” and a minimum verbal reprimand and maximum 1 year suspension for “negligent violations.”

For whereabouts violations, USADA policy gave a maximum 2 year suspension and a minimum of 6 months. The new UFC policy still carries a maximum of 2 years, but allows for as little as a reprimand “depending on the Athlete’s degree of fault.”

For trafficking or administering prohibited substances, the UFC is still going with a minimum of four years and as much as a lifetime ban for Athletes involved in these activities. But, as has been noted throughout the document, language pertaining to “support personnel” (and, surprisingly, violations “involving a minor”) have once again been removed. All language from the USADA policy involving punishments for “Prohibited Association” have been entirely removed as well.

As for the section on non-performance enhancing drugs or a “Substance of Abuse,” (cocaine, marijuana, heroin, etc.) both USADA and new UFC policies allow for the forgoing of any suspension if “the Athlete can establish… that the violation did not enhance, and was not intended to enhance, the Athlete’s performance….” However, language in the USADA document that required athletes found to be using a “substance of abuse” to complete a drug treatment program at their own expense has been removed.

Snitch clause simplification

March 5, 2023, Las Vegas, NV, LAS VEGAS, NEVADA, United States: LAS VEGAS, NV - March 5: Jon Jones meets with the media following his win over Cyril Gane at T-Mobile Arena for UFC 285 -Jones vs Gane : Event on March 5, 2023 in Las Vegas, NV, United States. Las Vegas, NV United States - ZUMAp175 20230305_zsa_p175_009
Jon Jones at UFC 285 | Louis Grasse / ZUMA Wire, IMAGO

Among USADA’s notable UFC policies was the ‘snitch clause’ (a label infamously tagged on Jon Jones after he received a 30-month reduction in sentence from USADA for providing the company with “substantial assistance”). Essentially it’s the opportunity for a fighter, no matter how much PED trouble they might be in, to bargain for a potential reduction in punishment if they’re willing to turn over evidence against other people they know are doping or providing substances to athletes.

In the past, this was a pretty substantial part of the Anti-Doping policy in which specific language was included that made it clear that in order to get a reduction in sentence, an athlete would have to provide evidence that “results in a criminal or disciplinary body discovering or bringing forward a criminal offense or the breach of professional rules committed by another Person,” or “results in WADA initiating a proceeding against a Signatory, WADA-accredited laboratory.”

Under the new policy, all that language is gone, noting simply that:

The Independent Administrator in its sole discretion may suspend all or any part of the period of Ineli-
gibility and other Consequences imposed in an individual case in which it has results management
authority where the Athlete has provided Full and Complete Cooperation. The extent to which the
otherwise applicable period of Ineligibility may be suspended or eliminated shall be based on the
seriousness of the Anti-Doping Policy Violation and the significance of the Full and Complete Co-
operation provided by the Athlete.

Summary

To sum up, the major changes to the UFC’s new Anti-Doping Policy appear to be a broad-scale (but undetermined as to consistency or distance) move away from WADA as a standard setter for UFC policy. The promotion may still be using WADA’s prohibited list as a guideline for their policy, but references to the agency throughout the document have been removed. Where USADA was insistent in using WADA standards as their own, the new UFC policy is seemingly not.

The other major change is the removal of practically all language concerning “Athlete Support Personnel.” USADA had a range of policies and punishments meant to cover coaches, trainers, cornermen, etc. who might help provide fighters with the means to dope. The new UFC policy appears to be largely unconcerned with trying to adjudicate violations involving figures other than the athletes they have under contract.

Finally, there seem to be more arbitration options open to fighters concerning what constitutes a doping violation. Thresholds are going to be privately established by the UFC with a 20% grey area open for arbitration. Suspension periods for violations other than failed drug tests have been lowered, and more options for the UFC to simply give fighters verbal reprimands have been included. It may be that fighters won’t notice much difference in practice, but it also wouldn’t be terribly surprising if the end result were fewer drug test failures going forward.

*After further consideration, I believe this language is meant to reflect the general removal of support personnel as persons of interest in the UFC drug testing program at large. So that no one other than UFC contracted athletes would need to challenge the Prohibited Substances List.

Update on ONE Championship’s potential funding bind

Back in November we highlighted a report from Deal Street Asia on ONE Championship’s potential funding woes, most notably that sources close to the promotion were speculating that the promotion could run out of operating cash by Q3 of 2024.

As such, it seems ONE has been trying to secure another round of investment from the Qatari government. Unfortunately, it also sounds like the climate for getting that deal may be none too pleasant for a company that appears to have yet to find a way to turn a profit since its inception in 2011.

The promotion has gone through rounds of layoffs in the past to stay afloat and has finally made moves for long promised international expansion, with an event in Broomfield, CO this past May and plans for an event in Qatar in early 2024. But even with past cost cutting measures and big goals for the future, it looks like there are other factors at play that may make everything more difficult for ONE.

ONE Championship lacking deliverables

A new report from Deal Street Asia (DSA) has outlined the struggles that ONE Championship is likely facing if it hopes to secure more funding from the Middle East. First and foremost, a former ONE executive (who refused to be identified), told the outlet that the first round of Qatari investment in 2021 was supposed to bring a whole series of Apex-like shows to the country.

“The idea [then] was that ONE’s Qatar shows would be akin to UFC’s Apex in Las Vegas,” the reported former ONE exec told DSA. “These would be shows with smaller seating capacity, but would look better on television because they were easier to fill.”

Instead, it seems what the Qatari government received was some destination spotlighting from ONE CEO Chatri Sityodtong’s two seasons of The Apprentice: ONE Championship Edition, released for streaming in Asia on Netflix. Viewership numbers for the first season have the show ranked 9,763 out of approximately 18,000 titles on the platform. Reports have since suggested that some core sponsors brought in by the Qatari government to underwrite the show (Qatar Airways and Ooredoo Qatar) pulled back their funding of ONE projects.

In DSA’s latest news, ONE has denied that there were any “specific deliverables” wrapped up in Qatar’s investment in the fight promotion. Meanwhile Sityodtong has officially announced that the first ONE show in the country will take place on March 1st at the Lusail Sports Arena. Maybe that will be enough to strengthen the bond and secure a new deal between them.

Is Qatar fading out of sportswashing picture?

A bigger problem for ONE Championship than the potential embarrassment rumored to be felt by the Qatari government for what could be considered a questionable investment, are the optics that Qatar does not appear to be leading the drive for sporting events in the Middle East at the moment.

Abu Dhabi has a long standing business partnership with the UFC, Bahrain is wrapped up with BRAVE CF, and Saudi Arabia has become the region’s biggest hot spot for sports investment, bankrolling not just the WWE and PFL, but a whole slew of upcoming international events, including the 2034 World Cup.

DSA spoke to at least one sports exec in Qatar who noted that many of his colleagues in the region have relocated to Riyadh for the money that the Saudi government is currently throwing at major showcase sporting events.

(230110) -- BEIJING, Jan. 10, 2023 -- Winner Team Argentina celebrate during the awarding ceremony of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, WM, Weltmeisterschaft, Fussball at Lusail Stadium in Lusail, Qatar, Dec. 18, 2022. ) (SP)XINHUA-PICTURES OF THE YEAR 2022 LixMing PUBLICATIONxNOTxINxCHN
Where’s the next major event on the Qatar sports horizon? | Xinhua, IMAGO

For all that hand-wringing, Qatar is still hosting the 2027 FIBA Basketball World Cup and the 2030 Asian Games, and just wrapped up hosting the FIFA World Cup in 2022 and the AFC Asian Cup in 2023. So it can’t be said that there’s no interest in the region in continuing to be seen as a force in the sporting world. But, if Qatar isn’t interested in funding ONE going forward it seems like other spenders in the region have already locked down their combat sports partners.

If that ends up meaning that ONE has most of their eggs in a single basket, then it’s not hard to see how 2024 could end up being a very difficult year.

Ex-UFC champ Cody Garbrandt targeting all the wrong fights | Hate to see it

It’s the holidays, so readers might think that my haterism would go into hibernation, filling this column with nothing other than Christmas joy. They’d be wrong. The combat sports news cycle never stops presenting us with fools, follies, and nuggets of goodness, festivities be damned.

This week, Cody Garbrandt has thoughts about his first set of back-to-back wins since 2016; ‘Korean Zombie’ is talking about his decision to retire from MMA; Bibiano Fernandes is airing out some dirty laundry; and Dricus Du Plessis is grasping the olive branch with Sean Strickland.

LOVE TO SEE IT

Former UFC title contender Chan Sung Jung sounds truly retired (at least from MMA)

Sometimes in the combat sports world we have find our gratitude where we can take it. As Tony Ferguson has illustrated for the past half-decade now, walking away when the chips are down can be nearly impossible for some fighters. And, of course, when the chips are up? Then there’s no reason to quit.

The task only seems doubly difficult when the athlete in question has failed to reach the pinnacle they dreamed of in their time as a fighter. Much like Ferguson’s failure to win a unified lightweight belt, the ‘Korean Zombie’ Chan Sung Jung had big hopes of featherweight gold—competing for titles in both 2013 and 2022.

That kind of longevity, in and of itself, is a testament to TKZ’s greatness inside the Octagon. A fighter who always made sure to give fans a show, went out on back-to-back stoppage losses to Alexander Volkanovski and Max Holloway. An ideal end to his career? No. But, as revealed in a recent MMA Hour interview, it seems to be a legacy he’s very much at peace with.

“The Max Holloway fight,” Jung answered when asked what his favorite fight of his career was (transcript via MMA Fighting). Because everything was perfect; the timing, my opponent being Max Holloway, the audience, the crowd, the love that they showed me. I’ve had my share of fights in life but this fight is the only fight that I have zero regret after the fight is finished, even though I lost via knockout. This is the only fight that I have completely zero regrets, so I would choose my last fight as the most memorable one.”

If there’s any hesitation to be had in the good vibes festival of a Korean Zombie interview it’s in the moment where, despite noting that he decided to retire from MMA because “I felt that I don’t have the chin anymore,” Jung added that while he’s done competing in the cage, he might still consider some work in the ring.

“If I get the opportunity, maybe boxing? A lot of MMA fighters try out boxing so why not me? Boxing would be fun for me.”

Hopefully this is more pipe dream than reality. He’s not wrong that a lot of former MMA fighters are jumping into boxing late in their careers, but that move hasn’t been creating a whole lot of great fights. And if brain damage is the concern he says it is, a heavier pair of gloves won’t be a big help. Thanks for all the memories TKZ, maybe try some BJJ tourneys to keep the competitive fires burning.

Dricus Du Plessis not making a big deal out of Sean Strickland fight

As aforementioned, it often feels like the good stuff in the combat sports news cycle has to be sifted out. Sluiced from the non-stop torrent of newly filed criminal cases and blase fight announcements. In this case, it seems we’ve got something of a surprise on our hands in the middleweight division, with the brewing rivalry between Dricus Du Plessis and Sean Strickland.

Notably, in an MMA world populated constantly by unresolved street beefs, strange grudges, and training camp hostilities, DDP and Strickland don’t want to let a little fist fight spoil their mutual respect for one another.

Things got a little heated in the lead-up to UFC 296, when the South African upcoming title challenger took a verbal swing at the champ and his history of trauma and child abuse. Though never one to shy away from mocking his opponents, it seems those comments hit a little too close to home for Strickland, who hopped a row of seats at UFC 296 to brawl with Du Plessis just a couple days later.

A few blows were exchanged, nobody was seriously hurt and—while the whole thing absolutely doesn’t need encouraging—it seems both men are on better footing for their chance to blow off a little steam.

“There’s no hard feelings,” Du Plessis said in a recent interview (transcript via MMA Junkie). “I still have the world’s respect for Sean Strickland. He’s a real man. I said it, and he showed that (at UFC 296). I mean, he stood up for himself and he did what he – that’s what a real man does.

“He stood up for himself. Listen, did he behave like a champion? Probably not. But at the end of the day, champion or not, we are fighters. We are not football players. We are not sprinters. We are fighters, and that’s what we do. It’s in our DNA.”

Is it all self aggrandizing macho bullshit? Absolutely. But that’s kinda all we’re really doing here at the end of the day anyway, pumping people up for their ability to deliver a beating or take one.

Dricus du Plessis vs. Sean Strickland seems set up to be a pretty fun, interesting fight. If these two are going to go after each other a bit beforehand in the lead up, then the least we can ask is that they don’t try to turn it into some kind of court case. It’s not charity work for sick orphans or some other act of true benevolence, but sometimes its’ enough for a fighter to just not get really annoying when they don’t have to be.



HATE TO SEE IT

Cody Garbrandt vs. Dominic Cruz 2? ‘No Love’ says no way

There are few fighters who have had such a remarkable rise and fall as Cody Garbrandt did in the UFC. Once the brightest prospect in Team Alpha Male’s stable, ‘No Love’ shot to contender ship on the back of an unbeaten 10-0 record, compiled in just four years of fighting as a pro. A remarkable achievement that entirely realized his potential as a true MMA phenom.

That rise, of course, was capped off by a legendary performance against Dominick Cruz to actually win UFC gold. It also marked the beginning of the end. Still very much in the prime of his career, Garbrandt lost back-to-back title fights against T.J. Dillashaw. A KO loss to Pedro Munhoz followed that. And while he broke the skid with a 2 round shellacking of Raphael Assuncao, losses to Rob Font and Kai Kara-France proved that the then 30-year-old hadn’t righted the ship.

An incredibly tepid victory over Trevin Jones didn’t give much hope of a return to contendership (even if Joe Rogan seemed to think so). But now, after detonating Brian Kelleher earlier this month at UFC 296, it looks like Garbrandt is once again set up for big fights, and if he has his way about it, more hard losses too.

The one possible, truly high-profile bout out there for the Ohio native feels like it would come from a rematch of his miracle moment. Dominick Cruz has gone through his own ups and downs lately, losing to Marlon Vera back in August of last year. But all throughout that time, the ‘Dominator’ has remained a high level performer in a way that Garbrandt largely hasn’t. Is Cody still just too slick, and too fast? Could Dom get a chance at redemption before his own days in the Octagon are through?

Sounds like we’ll never know.

“Honestly, that fight doesn’t interest me,” Cody Garbrandt said in a recent ESPN interview (transcript via MMA Junkie). “What else am I supposed to do with the guy? I mean, go in and knock him out this time? That’s the only thing that would go put a statement or top that. It’s so hard to top that performance.”

Instead, after his victory over Kelleher at UFC 296, Garbrandt set his sights on one of MMA’s biggest punchers under 155 lbs, former Brazilian flyweight champion Deiveson Figureiredo. Figgy is fresh off his own return to form, with a stifling win over Rob Font at UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan back on December 2nd. It was a victory that had ‘Deus Da Guerra’ looking every bit as dangerous as he did in his prime.

The other name on Garbrandt’s lips?

“I think a clash course with Sean [O’Malley] is definitely in the near future, a money fight. That’s what it’s all about. What is going to bring the most eyes to these fights. Sean and I have history. I would just love to go and smack him around.”

At this point, it seems nearly unthinkable that Garbrandt’s chin is ever truly going to come back to him. Durability may not have been his biggest problem when Dillashaw beat the brakes off him the first time, but with 4 KO losses in his last eight fights, I have trouble imagining a late-career Arlovski kind of renaissance for the 32-year-old.

A fight with Cruz feels like a lot of fun, because there’s a story there and still some meaning to it, and because Cruz has never been the biggest puncher at 135 lbs. Not even in his prime. Figueiredo and O’Malley are about as dangerous as dangerous gets and it’s hard to look at those kinds of bookings and think that anything other than another knockout loss for Garbrandt is waiting in the future.

Bibiano Fernandes reminds us that ONE is smoke & mirrors

Way back in 2012, Bibiano Fernandes was one of the hottest commodities in all of MMA. Fresh off a tech sub of Yoshiro Maeda at Dream’s final event before shutting its doors for good, questions abound as to where the 13-3 buzzsaw of a bantamweight talent would land next.

For fans who had been hoping we’d get to see Fernandes make the jump over to the UFC and their newly adopted 135 lb. division (following the shuttering of the WEC in 2011), hopes were soon dashed. Fernandes opted instead to sign a contract to compete with ONE Championship (then ONE FC), sealing his fate forever as one of the best ‘could have been’ talents to never compete in the Octagon.

That’s not to say he didn’t have plenty of his own success. Fernades won the ONE title in 2013, defending it seven times before losing the belt in a rematch to Kevin Belingon (who he would fight four times total in the promotion). But, that stint more recently included 2.5 years of inactivity, followed by a pair of losses, and then another year without a fight booking, before Fernandes got notice that his contract would not be renewed into 2024.

If he had it all to do over again, would the Singapore based promotion still be the path the now 44-year-old would have taken? In a recent interview with MMA Fighting he was quick to warn other talents of working for ONE, even if he doesn’t exactly regret it (it still sounds like he does).

“It was the right thing to do at that moment,” Fernandes told MMA Fighting of signing with ONE. “I went there and did my part. The promotion wasn’t big, but it was growing. Aoki and I, we helped the promotion grow. I did my part the way I had to do, but there are many things I can’t say. I hope no other athlete goes through what I went through. I hope no organization treats athletes the way I was treated, but I think that will happen. That’s why it’s very important that you have a good manager. I made the mistake of not fighting it when they took my manager from my side.”

As for why Fernandes can’t talk much about the problems it seems very clear he has had over his years working with ONE? As Bloody Elbow illuminated back in October, that’s because the promotion has anti-disparagement language built into their contracts that doesn’t just prevent fighters from speaking out against the promotion while signed to fight there, but prevents them from dishing dirt for the rest of their lives.

Worth noting in here as well, Fernandes’ coach for the bulk of his career is none other than current ONE VP Matt Hume. Even that relationship doesn’t seem like it was strong enough to stop ‘The Flash’ from getting stuck in the morass that ONE’s business model seems to entail.

At one point in time this man was one of the very best bantamweight talents in the world. Joe Rogan recently lamented that elite fighters who spend their careers outside the UFC waste their potential away from the eyes of fans who are devoted almost entirely to the Endeavor-owned promotion. Obviously there are strong examples out there to counter that narrative, but I can’t help feeling Fernandes truly lost out big when he ended up in ONE.

Deontay Wilder reminds that boxing can still suck

The UFC doesn’t take many weeks off these days. But one thing they’ve made a habit of in recent years is a willingness to let the holidays pass them by. No big New Years Eve cards, no Thanksgiving shows, no Christmas carnage.

In short, this holiday season, the other major players in the combat sports world have a shot at taking over the PPV market. Which should have made for a perfect showcase for Anthony Joshua and Deontay Wilder… if only they hadn’t tried to make boxing work purely for their own self interest.

I’m not going to stand here and say that MMA clearly occupies some kind of moral high ground these days when it comes to matchmaking. Hell, we’re still waiting for Conor McGregor vs. Michael Chandler (which increasingly looks unlikely to even make UFC 300), so there’s hardly room for mixed martial arts fans to talk about how Dana White & Co. make the fights fans want to see.

But for those still stuck in the narrative, then this past Saturday marked exactly the kind of dumb greed that has too often marred boxing’s landscape…

Deontay Wilder vs. Joshua Parker was a stereotypically cynical boxing script

Fans were treated to two of the heavyweight division’s biggest names this December 23rd in Riyadh, Anthony Joshua and Deontay Wilder, fighting on the same day, on the same card.

Anyone would have to assume they’d be facing one another. The obvious fight to make for two top heavyweight talents looking to take over right at the end of 2023. They’d be dead wrong.

For assuredly asinine reasons, Joshua decided to take on Otto Wallin in the main event, while Wilder fought Joseph Parker in the co-main. Even the commentary team was convinced that the intention was for both men to pick up a victory before facing one another some time in 2024. A great plan if this had been pro wrestling and the outcomes had been fixed.

Sugar Ray Leonard once famously said “You don’t play boxing.” It was meant to be an admonishment to fans who underestimate the dangers of the fight game. But it should just as easily be a message for boxers themselves, to remind them that for all the gamification they may attempt, ultimately the ring doesn’t lie.

Judging in the squared circle may be famously corrupt, but the fight shows a person’s quality and Wilder absolutely had none of it against Parker in Saudi Arabia.

The ‘Bronze Bomber’ came out, draped in his crown, hoping to rebuild his reputation as the most notable American heavyweight boxer of the last 15 years. Looking the part of a bad, bad man.

A stain on Deontay Wilder’s legacy

Instead, he spent 10ish rounds on the back foot, hoping to one-shot his ultra durable opponent, who simply refused to be cowed by the 38-year-old’s impressive size and power. A miserable unanimous decision loss for Deontay Wilder that may very well spell the end to his time as a top PPV contender.

Our own Mookie Alexander put it best, noting that with the loss Wilder’s legacy seems sealed—both as an incredible, heavy-handed puncher and as “one of the all-time emptiest resumes for a long-reigning heavyweight boxing champion we’ve ever seen.”

Having won the WBC title back in 2015, Wilder defended his belt against the likes of Eric Molina, Johann Duhaupas, Artur Szpilka, Chris Arreola, Gerald Washington, Bermane Stiverne and a 40-year-old Luis Ortiz, before finally facing Tyson Fury in 2018. Outside of Fury it’s a ‘who’s that?’ lineup if ever there was one.

He drew against Fury in their first meeting, winning two more bouts (including a rematch against Luis Ortiz) before losing back-to-back rematches against the ‘Gypsy King’ in 2020-21. A victory over Robert Helenius in 2022 set Wilder up for what will now go down in history as an unfathomably pointless booking more than a year later.

It shouldn’t even need saying, but Anthony Joshua was RIGHT THERE. These men were competing at the same time, on the same card. With the talk being that a victory for both would see them face off against one another. A clear ‘just make the goddamn fight’ moment if ever there was one. But greed and pride ruled the day and now one of the biggest potential boxing bouts of the past decade has gone up in smoke. Nothing more than a mirage in the desert, fittingly.

Francis Ngannou wins again

If there’s any positive side to this entirely unnecessary fumble it has to be in the eyes of former UFC champion Francis Ngannou. Having made a huge splash in the heavyweight boxing market this past October with a heavily disputed loss to Tyson Fury, ever single mistake among the boxing elite can only be a win for the ‘Predator’ and his negotiating leverage.

Anthony Joshua had hoped to have a top drawing opponent in Deontay Wilder all set for his next bout. Wilder had hoped to rebuild his championship reputation with a soft booking on his way to a new title fight. Suddenly Joshua finds himself in need of a man that can get fans excited, and Wilder finds himself badly needing a high profile win.

Even if Ngannou fights neither of them ever, he has to look like a far more enticing matchup right now than he did last week. Especially given how readily Joshua had apparently dismissed the Cameroonian-born Frenchman just a couple months ago. And if that’s the case, then he has just that little be more to lean on when he goes to the bargaining table with Tyson Fury in the coming months. If Fury won’t pay up, there are other bookings to turn to.

Ultimately Wilder and Joshua did the unthinkable, they made Dana White look clever when he talks about how broken and greedy boxing can be as a business. A sorry state if ever there was one, on a weekend all set for both men to shine. The only thing we can hope for, as a result, is that the next time a big fight is staring one of them in the face, they decide to take it rather than betting their future away on a result they can’t guarantee.

UFC 298 gets Cejudo vs Dvalishvili, Ian Garry has a new fight

It looks like extra Christmas gifts. The UFC is currently filling out their winter schedule, and have announced a whole slew of fights for their centennial 300th PPV card—including Aljamain Sterling vs. Calvin Kattar and Jiri Prochazka vs. Aleksandar Rakic. But that’s not all. With UFC 298 also on the horizon, the world’s largest MMA promotion is hoping to hook fans with another fight card loaded with elite talent.

It’s a welcome return to form after and of the year run for the UFC that felt somewhat lacking in the kinds of big fights the company is used to putting together. Hopefully these next few events avoid the injury bug and we get a few top tier fight cards.

UFC announces Robert Whittaker vs. Paulo Costa

Fans already knew about the main event for UFC 298, set to feature Alexander Volkanovski’s return to the featherweight division to defend his featherweight title against top contender Ilia Topuria. But now they’ve got a co-main event to get hyped about as well. In a recent video posted to his social media accounts, UFC president Dana White announced that former middleweight champion Robert Whittaker would make his return to the Octagon against former top contender Paulo Costa.

This news marks the latest step in Costa’s ongoing ‘return to competition’ saga. ‘Borrachinha’ hasn’t fought since August of 2022, when he beat Luke Rockhold by decision, in an absolute bloody war of a bout. That fight was followed by months of contract dispute with the UFC, which was settled this past spring. Unfortunately, despite the monetary agreements in place, Costa still has yet to appear back in the Octagon.

The Brazilian was initially announced for a fight with Ikram Aliskerov back in July, but that booking was soon cancelled for a fight against Khamzat Chimaev in October. Unfortunately a nasty elbow infection forced the 32-year-old off that card as well.

For Whittaker, the bout provides a clear opportunity for the New Zealand born fighter to maintain his role as gatekeeper to the belt. ‘The Reaper’ is fresh off a shocking upset loss to Dricus Du Plessis back in July, a fight that netted the South African his own chance for UFC gold this coming January. Prior to that bout, the 33-year-old went 1-1 in 2022, with a loss to then-champion Israel Adesanya and a win over Marvin Vettori.

Ian Machado Garry to fight Geoff Neal

Something of a surprise for UFC 298 is the announcement of a new fight for fast rising Irish prospect Ian Machado Garry. The Future had been all set to take on hard-punching Brazilian Vicente Luque back at UFC 296 before a nasty bout of pneumonia say him forced from the card. With the cancellation coming so shortly before the event, Luque was left without a replacement opponent—which usually means a re-booking from the UFC for sometime in the near future.

Not this time, however. Instead, the UFC is headed back to a fight they had planned for mid-August. Garry had been all set to face Geoff Neal at UFC 292, before ‘Handz of Steel’ was forced out of the card and replaced by Neil Magny.

When the Neal/Garry fight was still booked, the 26-year-old Dubliner took the opportunity to stoke the flames of rivalry, printing up a shirt with Geoff Neal’s mugshot in hopes of getting under his opponent’s skin. Whether or not that will end up having been an effective tactic remains to be seen, but it seems like the move created enough of a narrative that both men still want the fight.

Garry will enter the re-booking with a still pristine 12-0 record, having defeated Magny his last time out. For Neal, this fight represents a bounceback opportunity for the 33-year-old, following a submission loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov at UFC 285 this past March. That loss broke a two-fight win streak for the Fortis MMA talent, having defeated Vicente Luque in 2022, and Santiago Ponzinibbio in December of 2021.

Henry Cejudo vs. Merab Dvalishvili

While UFC 298 also incudes excellent bookings between Tatiana Suarez and Amanda Lemos, as well as Anthony Hernandez vs. Ikram Aliskerov, the other ‘big’ fight on the card is a bantamweight booking between former two-division double-champ Henry Cejudo and Team Serra-Longo’s Merab Dvalishvili.

‘Triple C’ returned to action for the first time in three years this past May to take on Aljamain Sterling for his previously vacated title belt. Sterling eked out a narrow split decision at UFC 288 to retain his title (losing it just 3 months later to Sean O’Malley).

After the bout, Cejudo suggested that he might consider returning to retirement, but quickly nixed the idea for a potential fight against Dvalishvili. With the Georgian getting passed over as a title contender in favor of Chito Vera, it seems the former Olympic gold medalist is going to get his wish.

‘The Machine’ will enter this booking on a 9-fight winning streak, stretching all the way back to a 2018 hail Mary submission defeat at the hands of Ricky Simon. In the time since, Dvalishvili has bested former champions Jose Aldo and Petr Yan, along with former title contenders John Dodson and Marlon Moraes among others. A win over Henry Cejudo seems like it would make the 32-year-old undeniable for a shot at gold.

UFC 298 fight card

Here’s a look at the UFC 298 fight card as it currently stands:

  • Alexander Volkanovski vs. Ilia Topuria
  • Robert Whittaker vs. Paulo Costa
  • Geoff Neal vs. Ian Machado Garry
  • Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo
  • Tai Tuivasa vs. Marcin Tybura
  • Tatiana Suarez vs. Amanda Lemos
  • Anthony Hernandez vs. Ikram Aliskerov
  • Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs. Justin Tafa
  • Zhang Mingyang vs. Brendson Ribeiro
  • Yusaku Kinoshita vs. Danny Barlow
  • Andrea Lee vs. Miranda Maverick
  • Rinya Nakamura vs. Brady Heistand
  • Oban Elliott vs. Valentine Woodburn

Ex-UFC champ Rampage Jackson, ‘Flat Earther’ | Hate to see it

The final UFC card of the year gave us some fantastic moments of action, along with some real, terrible moments of depression. Josh Emmett absolutely nuked Bryce Mitchell out of orbit, while Tony Ferguson took yet another in a long string of humiliating losses. As is ever the case, combat sports giveth and taketh away in equal measure.

But it wasn’t just the action inside the UFC Octagon that gave us our highs and lows for this week’s column. Rampage Jackson emerged with a surprise contribution. And, as ever, Jake Paul stayed making moves.

LOVE TO SEE IT

Bryce Mitchell thanks Josh Emmett

I’ll rarely ever be one to blame fighters for competing until the referee waves off the bout. MMA is, at its root, a sandbox/chaos sport. So many fighters on the borderline of losing consciousness have rallied back to win over their exhausted opposition—it’s not so much vicious to make sure the coffin nail is landed, it’s often smart.

That said, then, it’s also a great act of mercy when fighters decide that they don’t need to do more damage than they’ve already done. Mark Hunt had a career full of highlights that featured the ‘Super Samoan’ casually strolling away from his opponents as they crashed to the mat, unable to recover.

On Saturday night at UFC 296, Josh Emmett added to his own legacy with a crushing one-punch KO over Bryce Mitchell, sleeping ‘Thug Nasty’ less than two minutes into the first round. It was one of the filthiest walk-off knockouts I’ve seen in a minute.

“[Referee] Herb [Dean] was way behind me,” Emmett told MMA Fighting. “I could have hit [Mitchell] with several big shots on the ground, but there’s no need. At the end of the day, I want everyone to go home as safe as possible to their loved ones.”

Fortunately, despite the terrifying scene of Mitchell’s trip to the land wind and ghosts, it seems the Arkansas native is doing well a few days removed from his loss. Well enough even, to take some time to record a video message of thanks to the Team Alpha Male fighter for not doing more damage than was strictly necessary.

“I want to let you all know that I am so happy with Josh Emmett,” Mitchell revealed in a post on social media. “Right after he knocked me out, he could have followed up with hammerfists, and it probably would have killed me. He didn’t even follow up with anything.”

“He was just happy with his knockout, and he walked away. And I’m so gracious for that, I will forever remember that. Thank you for not hitting me extra, Josh.”

Mitchell’s got plenty of weird stuff he gets into when given a camera and an audience, but this just seems like a real, nice wholesome MMA moment created by a single point of extreme violence and one fighter’s willingness to do just a little bit less than he could have.

Jake Paul gets with USA Boxing

Anyone familiar with my work knows I tend to run very hot and cold on Jake Paul. On the one hand, I think celebrity boxing is pretty harmless and he works a lot harder at it than most. On the other hand, I think a lot of his championing for causes has a hollow ring to it, and the lack of true talent he brings with him to is pretty undeniable.

That said, there’s one thing that absolutely can’t be denied: In today’s combat sports climate, Paul is a big star. He, KSI and Jake’s brother Logan have created a niche for bad-to-mid level fight cards, focused on street beefs, reputation bets, and dares, that are attracting young fans who otherwise might have little interest in high level pro boxing (or even sports in general).

It seems like the kind of track record to make Paul’s latest partnership an obvious and easy match. In a post to his Twitter account, Paul announced that he is joining forces with USA Boxing to promote the 2024 Olympic team.

Sure, it’s worth asking, is Olympics interest in such dire straights that it needs Jake Paul’s celebrity to give it a boost? To that, I can only say yes. Yes it is.

The last Olympics were crushingly poor at attracting an American audience and there’s plenty of criticism leveled at the IOC, that these days the games do more harm than good. Given current trends on Gen Z sports viewership interest overall, there seems to be a serious need for sports to capture youth audiences that increasingly see competitive athletics as outdated.

I’m sure that the Paris games will get more traction with US audiences than the Tokyo games, just through kinder time zones alone. And while I don’t necessarily feel like the Olympics as an industry needs championing, any extra shine and recognition these young athletes can get should be applauded.

Jake Paul is hardly an ideal spokesperson, but his fame has made him the best suited one available. The fact that he’s willing to try and make some good use of that is nice to see.



HATE TO SEE IT

UFC boss Dana White tries to retire Tony Ferguson

It should come as no surprise that Tony Ferguson still doesn’t sound very interested in retirement after taking his 7th straight UFC loss on Saturday night. Despite having failed to get his arm raised going back to the end of 2019, ‘El Cucuy’ has remained defiant in the face of criticism.

At UFC 296, the former interim lightweight champion looked another step older and another step slower trading shots with his least dangerous opponent in years before getting handily out-grappled for two rounds to close out the fight. After the loss, Ferguson took to social media with a brief message for fans.

“Love my fans and supporters,” Ferguson posted to his Instagram Stories (h/t MMA Fighting). “You are all f—ing fire. I met lots of you tonight, keep the faith MF’s. One foot in front of the other b—s. Remember what I said crew — Champ.”

Asked about Ferguson’s career at the UFC 296 post-event presser, Dana White gave his stock answer, whenever a former UFC star has found themselves in a late career skid.

“Listen, Tony’s been an absolute warrior and a dog in this sport,” White told the gathered media. “I don’t want to disrespect him by publicly talking about him retiring but I would love to see him retire. That’s really where my head’s at.”

Frankly, it’s all just so tired at this point. As fans it feels like we’ve been down this road with the UFC a dozen times now, whether it was with Chuck Liddell, Luke Rockhold, Matt Hughes, Anderson Silva, or Tyron Woodley just to name a few. If Ferguson is as set on continuing his career as he seems and if Dana White doesn’t want to see him fighting anymore, then they should part ways.

Personally, I’d love to see T-Ferg hang, ’em up. But we all know at this point how hard a job fighting is to quit. And while White clearly seems to feel he has some influence here, his history in these situations clearly shows otherwise. Not one of these fighters has talked kindly about Dana White’s interference in their careers. These men are competing well past the point of sense because it’s what they want, and they don’t take kindly to others meddling.

The UFC is right to want to get out of the Tony Ferguson business. But, if that’s the case they should stop dithering and be done with it. No ‘talks’, no ‘we’ll see’, no squeezing a name talent for every last bit of juice that can be wrung out of them just so the competition can’t. Treat these men like the independent contractors you claim they are. Let them go if you don’t want to keep them working.

Rampage Jackson ‘flat Earther’

There may be no easier conspiracy to disprove than the ‘flat Earth.’ Methods and mathematics for measuring the circumference and curvature of the planet are so simple and numerous that even thousands of years ago men were able to make exacting estimations as to its size and shape.

More than that, for the mathematically disinclined among us, anyone who’s been high enough up in the air on a plane or hot air balloon has had a chance to see how the earth curves. A person armed with enough money and gumption can even circumnavigate the globe with the use of a good map, all under their own power. No edges, no secret NASA bases, no optical illusions.

At some point in his life as a world traversing mixed martial artist and regularly working actor, it seems almost certain that former UFC champion Quinton Jackson has circled the earth, at least once. That hasn’t stopped ‘Rampage’ from joining those strange voices among us, however, who claim that the Earth is—despite mountains of evidence to the contrary—flat

“This is the thing about the whole ’round Earth/flat Earth’ thing, why do people care if people believe in the Earth the way Bible describes it?,” Jackson told a characteristically flabbergasted Brendan Schaub in a recent interview. “Why do people get so mad about that?”

“Why do people get mad at people if they just describe the Earth the way the oldest history book described it?”

“I do,” Rampage continued when asked if he thinks the Earth is flat. “I just don’t talk about it, because—something like Einstein said; saying, ‘To a dumb motherf—er, an ignorant motherf—er sounds dumb.'”

I can’t find that quote from Einstein, or even one that resembles it, so I have no clue what he’s talking about there. As for the Bible, though? Isaiah 40:22 includes this passage that Rampage seems to be referencing:

“He sits enthroned above the circle of the earth, and its people are like grasshoppers. He stretches out the heavens like a canopy, and spreads them out like a tent to live in.”

One of many vague points that flat Earther’s have pointed to suggesting that the Earth is being described as a disk with a ‘firmament’ over the top of it, never minding that several other passages also leaned on describe the “four corners of the Earth” instead. Is it a circle, is it a square? Or is it allegorical language meant to impart lessons and values upon its reader and not a denial of critical thinking skills?

I don’t want to be the atheist guy that rants against religion, really. But even mainstream Christianity recognizes that the earth is a sphere. Christians have been to space, themselves, many times. What Jackson is leaning on here isn’t religion, it’s just laziness—as these guys found out for themselves…

UFC 296: Colby Covington followed the Chael Sonnen path to its inevitable conclusion

Colby Covington had a rare opportunity this past Saturday in Las Vegas at UFC 296. With his fight against Leon Edwards, he became one of a very few fighters in UFC history to ever fight for gold three times without ever winning a belt.

Chaos Covington’s UFC career a continuation of mentor Chael Sonnen’s

A man first recruited to MMA by former multiple time title challenger Chael Sonnen (as the broadcast pointed out just before he stepped into the Octagon), in many ways, ‘Chaos’ has seemed like a continuation of the former Team Quest talent’s career. After starting his time in MMA as a hard-nosed, hard working wrestle-grinder, Covington flipped a switch and became a loud-mouthed, brash ‘performer’. A fighter more known for his ability to rile foes outside of the cage than for the definitive nature of his victories inside it.

Just like Sonnen, that recipe proved to be a major success. At least when it came to getting chances to fight for titles. Sonnen fought Anderson Silva twice, nearly winning the first, before getting put away in the second. And followed that up with a surprise title fight opportunity against Jon Jones, where he got utterly annihilated—excepting a toe injury that nearly gave him the belt on a technicality, had he been able to see the second round.

Unfortunately, much like his collegiate wrestling career—where Sonnen always managed to do very well—he never actually found a way to grab the brass ring.

Even after he moved to Bellator, the Oregon native found himself faced with a loss to Fedor Emelianenko that stopped his Heavyweight Grand Prix hopes in their tracks.

Finally, however, with the culmination of what’s very likely Colby Covington’s final UFC title fight at UFC 296, Sonnen gets the honor of having been the man to do it first. Covington walked the path laid down before him and he did it to a T. All the trash talk, all the grinding wrestling, all the title shot opportunities and none of the gold to show for it.

Much like Sonnen, Covington will no doubt spend the next several years claiming that he’s the ‘real champ’, just like both men did while they were still contenders. They love to bluster, but the record will remain unchanged; that when they got to the peak of the mountain, the trash talk was the most offensive thing they had going for them.

Okay, maybe that’s being unfair. After all Covington is only 35 and not done yet… still time to rewrite the narrative and work back to something, maybe, possibly.

Where does Colby Covington go after UFC 296?

I’ll fully admit that it came to my surprise when the MMA Masters talent told the crowd that he feels “35-years-young” and like he wants to jump back in the cage early next year. Against who? For what stakes?

For the last four years Covington has had exactly two kinds of fights: Title shots and grudge matches. If the chance for gold is now out of reach, at least for the foreseeable future (and a lot longer than that if statistics about title challengers over the age of 35 below middleweight are to be relied upon), it has to be noted that the grudge matches aren’t really there either anymore.

Jorge Masvidal is retired, Kamaru Usman already beat him twice, Tyron Woodley is out wandering the celebrity boxing wastelands. Is Covington going to fight Belal Muhammad? Or Gilbert Burns? Is he going to face rising contenders like Shavkat Rakhmonov and Sean Brady? These are the kinds of bouts he’s been passing on for more than half a decade. It’s hard to imagine that they’d hold more attraction now.

Covington hasn’t seemed like a fighter hungry to compete and fight for the thrill of it so much as a man hunting that one ultimate piece of validation. The time he spends around fighting, the use he makes of his fame, has been more targeted as a future career on the right wing grifter circuit—teaching workshops on alpha behavior or something equally likely to prey on masculine insecurity. The idea that Covington would want to hang around combat sports and stay in the industry never really seemed to be on the horizon.

Now that the validation has escaped him, is grinding back to the top really the move?

Maybe there’s an unlikely third act to this story. A post-contendership renaissance that allows Covington on more shot at glory, ala Glover Teixeira. I can’t help feeling that’s incredibly unlikely.

The future is always uncertain, however, yet in the wake of UFC 296 it feels like Colby Covington has secured his legacy—as a career runner-up. It’s just all the more fitting that he wasn’t even the first one to do it.


You know you can count on us for quick, consistent quality UFC and MMA coverage. Bloody Elbow is an independent, reader supported publication. Please subscribe to our newsletter to keep up with our best work and learn how you can support the site.

Join the new Bloody Elbow

Our Substack is where we feature the work of writers like Zach Arnold, John Nash and Karim Zidan. We’re fighting for the sport, the fighters and the fans. Please help us by subscribing today.

UFC 296 loses one more fight

One of the self-created problems UFC has had to grapple with lately, are cards booked with only a couple truly relevant fights, where a single cancellation feels like it can take all hype away from an event. It’s a point that stands out especially stark during a fight week like this one, where the UFC has put together a top-quality event from start to finish.

Fans have already had to grapple with the loss of top ranked welterweight Ian Machado Garry’s bout against Vicente Luque this week, and now we’ve got word of another rock solid booking that’s had to drop off due to illness. The result? It’s still a very good, fun card.

Randy Brown vs. Muslim Salikhov off UFC 296

For once it wasn’t weigh-in woes that took fights off the card for this week’s UFC 296 event in Las Vegas, NV. The final PPV of the year will go ahead with just 12 bouts after multiple reports that Randy Brown vs. Muslim Salikhov had been cancelled.

According to a post on his X (nee Twitter) account, Randy Brown confirmed that he was out of the bout, after being deemed “unfit to compete” due to flu symptoms.

“The news is unfortunate,” Brown wrote. “I did everything possible to stay in the fight but when I went to the hospital the doctors deemed me unfit to compete due to the flu. I’ll be back early next year to put on a banger.”

Brown was set to enter the contest off a victory over Wellington Turman back in June. That win provided a much needed bounce-back for ‘Rudeboy’ following a first round stoppage loss to rising Aussie contender Jack Della Maddalena in February of this year.

For Salikhov, UFC 296 had hoped to provide a rebound from a loss to Nicolas Dalby at UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier over the Summer. The ‘King of Kung Fu’ is just 1-2 over the last two years following a five-fight unbeaten streak from 2018-2021. Unfortunately, it looks like he’ll have to wait a bit longer to see if he can right the ship.

No word as of yet whether the UFC will find a new bout for Muslim Salikhov or whether they will look to retain this booking for a future fight card.

UFC 296 fight card

The only other major change to UFC 296 from its announced lineup was the recent withdrawal of Giga Chikadze from a planned fight with Josh Emmett. Fortunately, there was still enough time between fight night and Chikadze’s withdrawl to find a replacement, with Bryce Mitchell stepping up to face the Team Alpha Male talent on short notice.

Now that Garry vs. Luque is out of the lineup, Emmett vs. Mitchell has been moved to the PPV opener spot, with Alonzo Menifield vs. Dustin Jacoby taking over the ‘featured prelim’ position on ESPN 2. Here’s a look at the complete lineup as it stands now.

ESPN+ PPV MAIN CARD
Leon Edwards vs. Colby Covington
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Brandon Royval
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Stephen Thompson
Tony Ferguson vs. Paddy Pimblett
Josh Emmett vs. Bryce Mitchell

ESPN2 PRELIMS
Alonzo Menifield vs. Dustin Jacoby
Irene Aldana vs. Karol Rosa
Cody Garbrandt vs. Brian Kelleher
Casey O’Neill vs. Ariane Lipski

ESPN+ PRELIMS
Tagir Ulanbekov vs. Cody Durden
Andre Fili vs. Lucas Almeida
Martin Buday vs. Shamil Gaziev

Jake Paul: real boxer? | Hate to see it

Another week in the combat sports world means another week full of stories that make me full body cringe. Oh, and also a few that make me say ‘Aww, that’s nice.’

Readers may have noticed we’re trying a few new things over her at Bloody Elbow, in particular, getting away from the news grind. We want to give readers a more invested, focused vision of fight sports, rather than chasing multiple articles about every little bit of drama that hits the world wide web.

As such, here’s a handful of stories this week that actually made me feel something more than “okay, I guess…”

Love to see it

Belal Muhammad and Khamzat Chimaev find friendship

The latest iteration of the war between Israel and Palestine has been nothing short of a non-stop horror show. Constant reports of atrocities, murders, assaults, and an ever mounting death toll of Palestinian citizens as Israel wages a war through land and sky against a country that lacks clear military targets, or even a standing army.

In that kind of climate, it’s hard not to enjoy seeing a couple of the UFC’s own finding a little common ground in their shared support of Palestine. Khamzat Chimaev made headlines at UFC 294, with his post fight speech calling for peace and unity (while also offering to become a foot soldier in the war). It seems his message didn’t go unnoticed by Palestinian-American welterweight Belal Muhammad.

At one point, Muhammad had called for a fight with the Chechen, when he was still down at 170 lbs looking to make a title run. At this point, however, he’s just cheering ‘Borz’ on in his journey for MW gold.

“For me, it was obviously huge that he was posting about Palestine,” Muhammad said in an interview with MMA Junkie. “That’s my brother now. Like, if you’re supporting my people, we’re one. It’s all about being a Muslim and when one Muslim’s in pain, one Muslim’s hurting, you should be feeling the same pain, feeling the same hurt. I feel like we’ve got connected off of that.”

“I’m Team Khamzat. I hope he gets the 185-pound title. I hope he gets the title shot and inshallah, next year, it’ll be me at 170 champion, Islam at 155 champion, and Khamzat at 185 champion. We’ll be taking over.”

War will always divide people and tear bonds apart. It’s good to see that every now and then, amid the horror of it all, that it can bring a few people together too.

Colby Covington hates Sean Strickland

I’m not actually here to take sides in this war of words, but it’s nice to see that some things never change. Most notably that two edge-lords just can’t be friends. Covington and Strickland have no clear reason to dislike one another. They’re both into hard-line right-wing politics, they both have reputations for being secretly much nicer than they try to seem. And they both love to try and piss people off by saying whatever the first thing that comes to their mind is, in public.

It’s probably that last part that pulls these two away from one another. After all, nothing a loud angry guy hates more than to see someone else being loud and angry out ahead of them, stealing their thunder. But, what that has meant is that we’re going to get treated to a whole host of hilariously weird quotes between these two while they try to find ways to hate on one another that don’t reflect just as poorly on themselves.

In a recent interview with Code Sports, Colby Covington took a couple big swings at the middleweight champion. I’m still not sure what he’s trying to say here, but it makes me chuckle a lot, so I can’t help but be happy about it.

“He’s pretending to be everything he wishes I was,” Covington said of Strickland. “I’d love to slap Sean Strickland around. He’s just a pathetic excuse of a human being, the guy has literally no fricking IQ. The guy’s so f—ing stupid. The things he says, he needs to get his mouth wired shut and I’m the guy to do it. The UFC knows I’m the one that can end these guys that hate the company and they hate the world, so I would love to fight Sean Strickland.”

What that first sentence means, who knows? Does Strickland think that Covington is aggressive and opinionated, but actually Covington thinks he’s quiet and withdrawn? What are these qualities he feels distant from, but somehow reflected by? Whatever they are, Strickland already responded to these quotes over on his Twitter account, telling fans that the only thing Covington knows how to do “is call 911 ‘someone send help’.”

Keep it going guys, and someone bring me the popcorn.


Hate to see it

Claressa Sheilds viral video sensation

Leaked training footage is always bad news in the combat sports world. When people are taping what’s going on in sparring sessions and then releasing that footage to the public, it more than likely means someone is getting embarrassed.

Earlier in his UFC career, Conor McGregor made a habit of releasing a few clips ahead of his bouts, usually of him humiliating foes during sparring sessions. It’s a strategy Jake Paul has taken to for his boxing bouts as well. An easy way to get fans excited, but also an easy way to create bad blood with the people brought in to help them train.

Maybe, then, it’s no surprise that undisputed middleweight boxing champion Claressa Shields is not handling the emergence of a viral video that shows her getting dropped hard in the gym five years ago all that well. The video was posted by Shields’ then sparring partner Arturs Ahmetovs in response to a recent interview from the ‘GWOAT’ where she spoke about the incident, claiming that she had been dropped by an unnamed male boxer in sparring, after he had taken the padding out of his gloves.

Ahmetov’s coach has absolutely denied the claim outright, while Shields says she didn’t talk about it (or report it) at the time, because she felt it would endanger a scheduled title fight. Considering that Shields has also claimed that she was ready to knife Ahmetov’s coach and has since called out pro boxer Rolly Romero to fight anywhere any time for his own comments about the incident, it doesn’t exactly seem like something she’s ready to keep all that cool about. But human nature never ceases to confound.

Whatever the truth in this dumb story might be, however, the lesson is clear. Don’t record sparring sessions. Don’t use sparring footage to try and humiliate someone. Maybe even just don’t talk about sparring at all. Ego maintenance is a core part of combat sports, and it makes a lot of athletes extremely thin skinned and defensive against any supposition that they might not actually be that big of a badass. Nobody comes out of this looking good.

Jake Paul: Real Boxer

I’ve tried to be awfully fair to Jake Paul’s boxing career. Not out of an abundance of enjoyment for his prank persona, or any kind of admiration for his hustle, but simply because he honestly seems like he’s trying pretty hard to make fighting work and to train hard to do it. Also because fight fans have hilariously outsized expectations.

The fact that Paul has beat a series of former MMA/UFC champions and faced a boxer in Tommy Fury who has a solid amount of high level training and resources behind him is, if we’re being real, a lot more than anyone should reasonably expect of a 20-something-year-old influencer on a vanity kick. Calls for him to face seasoned competition etc, generally ignore how little most boxers being groomed for greatness take on challenging fights early in their careers.

I can’t help feel a pang of empathy for Paul, following the smart route through these early years of his pugilistic entrepreneurship, only to be treated like he’s avoiding challenges.

That said, if we’re getting down to brass tacks, just because Paul is challenging himself and training hard doesn’t make what he’s doing not a vanity project. Jake Paul is very okay for a low-ceiling pro who started late. We’ve seen that in his fights with Nate Diaz, Anderson Silva, and that aforementioned Fury bout. Against people less prepared than him, he can squeeze out victories by starting fast, hitting hard, and staying alive late. Against people similarly (or more) experienced than him in the ring, his lack of speed, cardio, or ability to maintain form all become serious liabilities.

Currently, Paul has lined himself up to take on Andre August, a 35-year-old unknown with a shiny record and no quality competition to speak of. It’s a decent measuring stick fight. But what it’s measuring Paul for? Entirely ridiculous nonsense.

“I think the path that I’m on now tees me up in the future to fight Canelo,” Jake Paul explained in a recent interview on the MMA Hour (transcript via MMA Fighting). “It’s even just showing him that I can go 10 or 12 rounds with you, [that] I’ve done that with real, legitimate pro boxers and beat them. So when I beat these guys in the year or two to come—and continue to raise the level of opposition—I think me vs. Canelo becomes a really interesting fight.”

“And something that a lot of people would be like, ‘Oh, Jake’s going to get destroyed.’ But there’s that fun thing in your mind, the same thing with Francis Ngannou and Tyson Fury. ‘Yeah, but he’s the bigger guy who has punching power!’ So it becomes this really fun, interesting fight that I think is historical, and Canelo has expressed interest in interviews, so I think we’re closer than we think.”

Nobody needs this. Not boxing fans, not Jake Paul fans, not even Jake Paul. The celebrity boxing business is one of trying to make wolf tickets reality. Selling fights nobody thinks will actually happen, and then actually putting them on. Getting influencers, non-combat athletes, MMA fighters, musicians, and c-tier celebrities to do more than just talk about how tough they are.

I get that Francis Ngannou pushed that mold to the limit with his bout against Tyson Fury, but that feels a lot more like lightning in a bottle than a roadmap for others to follow (especially because heavyweight is its own kind of circus). If Jake Paul’s goal is a fight with Canelo Alvarez, he might actually be able to put enough money on the table to make it happen. But the result will pretty certainly be some absolutely terrible ass kicking that none of us need to see.

Power Slap should have got more fight from California

The following piece first appeared on The Bloody Elbow Substack on Sunday, December 10, 2023. Subscribe for early access to more premium pieces and to support your favorite online karate magazine.

With TUF fading consistently into background static for fight fans around the world, Dana White has made Power Slap his personal passion. A sport of extreme violence, zero defense, and zero training required. It seems destined to create an endless cycle of almost entirely unknown participants knocking each other out in TikTok highlights.

It also seems like a guarantee that few will ever be able to be slap fighters for long enough to gain any kind of meaningful traction as a star of the ‘sport’ (for lack of a better term). Leaving nobody to collect checks outside of the people running the events. Is it any wonder White is so gung ho about the whole thing?

That shouldn’t mean, however, that the rest of the combat sports industry needs to greenlight this sad spectacle just because someone sees its potential to make easy cash.

Combat sports have to include risk mitigation

Fighting exists firmly in a rhetorical dichotomy through which fighters, fans, and pundits both celebrate its ultra violence and—in the same breath—defend it as being no more dangerous than any other contact sport.

Even if those dueling narratives seem a bit silly to outside observers there’s a real need for those ideas to exist in harmony. Fans and fighters should be able to defend the sanctioning of their sports with the idea that they can be practiced in some form of relative safety; that there is a defensive aspect to the game and that it requires technique and care and consideration. That combat sports are not literally just a brain damage showcase, there’s competitive nuance to it.

Slap fighting absolutely does not have that at all, and the fact that commissions are willing to let it move on through with hardly a sideways glance only makes much more obvious what their real functionality is within the regulatory ecosystem. Commissions exist to bring more money to the state, by making themselves an attractive place for promoters to put on events. Safety is a secondary (tertiary?) concern.

The neurologist that signed off on slap fighting for California gave it the go ahead because, in his own words, he didn’t see any ‘red flags’. An insane position considering that we know two very basic things about it:

1) Like every other combat sport, it’s absolutely causing brain damage or people wouldn’t be getting KO’d.

2) It actively prevents defense against said brain damage.

Sanctioning a combat sport without an argument that participants can defend themselves from the damage they’re certain to take is a position bereft of caution in the face of profit. It is a giant red flag.

California seemed more primed than most to challenge slap fighting

I can’t say I’m shocked at the news, but I am surprised that California is one of the very first dominos to fall. Far from a state that pursues events with a blind eye to safety, the CSAC has often felt like a higher standard for regulation in the US. It’s one of the only commissions that still discloses fight purses, the only state that releases rehydration data and encourages fighters to cut less weight, and a state that is at least trying (if only questionably succeeding) to create pension funds for fighters to recoup some of the money that escaped them during their time in the ring & cage.

I’d have hoped that kind of history would put them far and away on the more cautious end of business. Made them at least wait and see how other smaller commissions reacted.

After all, it’s not even like the UFC runs a lot of events there—in part because of the transparency, high fees and taxes imposed by California governance. But, with a single UFC PPV event looming out on the horizon (and zero events held in the state in 2023) it looks a lot like the CSAC just rubber stamped this thing to keep Dana White & Co. happy.

A roadmap for more regulatory capture

It’s exactly the kind of regulatory capture that our own Zach Arnold warned of back in July; that the UFC would make their willingness to work with ACs dependent on greenlighting Power Slap. Given what we’ve just recently seen about the UFC’s negotiation tactics with their own fighters, it’s hard to think they’re not hardballing the commissions as well.

Dana White may like to trumpet that the UFC runs to regulation and not away from it, but if he’s running at regulators to make Power Slap happen it may just be with a hammer in his hand.

Join the new Bloody Elbow

Our Substack is where we feature the work of writers like Zach Arnold, John Nash and Karim Zidan. We’re fighting for the sport, the fighters and the fans. Please help us by subscribing today.